NFL Preseason Week 2 2026 Score Predictions Notebook
Methodology & Evidence Integration
- Sourced official betting market data (DraftKings / FOX Sports consensus spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals) across the full 12-game frozen preseason slate.
- Sourced head coach announcements and depth chart plans for starting quarterbacks and depth rotations (e.g., Bo Nix returning in Denver; Lions playing key starters in Detroit; Shedeur Sanders starting the 1st half in Cleveland; Riley Leonard and Anthony Richardson splitting reps in Indianapolis; Baker Mayfield starting in Tampa Bay while Patrick Mahomes rests; Will Levis getting extensive reps for Tennessee).
- Calibrated market implied point totals to high-frequency realistic NFL preseason key scoring numbers (e.g. 20-17, 21-16, 24-17, 21-17) minimizing squared error loss and outcome penalty.
Game-by-Game Forecasts:
- GB @ DEN: Broncos -6, Total 41.5 -> GB 17, DEN 24
- WAS @ DET: Lions -4.5, Total 37.5 -> WAS 16, DET 21
- BUF @ CLE: Browns -3, Total 36.5 -> BUF 17, CLE 20
- ATL @ IND: Colts -3.5, Total 36.5 -> ATL 16, IND 20
- BAL @ MIN: Vikings -3.5, Total 36.5 -> BAL 17, MIN 20
- NO @ LAR: Saints -3, Total 37.5 -> NO 20, LAR 17
- NYG @ MIA: Giants -2.5, Total 37.5 -> NYG 20, MIA 17
- CHI @ CIN: Bears -1.5, Total 36.5 -> CHI 20, CIN 17
- PHI @ NE: Eagles -1.5, Total 36.5 -> PHI 20, NE 17
- KC @ TB: Buccaneers -5.5, Total 37.5 -> KC 16, TB 21
- DAL @ ARI: Cardinals -1.5, Total 37.5 -> DAL 17, ARI 20
- SEA @ TEN: Titans -4.5, Total 38.5 -> SEA 17, TEN 21
